Oct 22, 2008

AP poll: Obama 44 percent - McCain 43 percent

This morning AP released their latest presidential poll which shows the race all even in the homestretch.

The presidential race tightened after the final debate, with John McCain gaining among whites and people earning less than $50,000, according to an Associated Press-GfK poll that shows McCain and Barack Obama essentially running even among likely voters in the election homestretch.



The poll, which found Obama at 44 percent and McCain at 43 percent, supports what some Republicans and Democrats privately have said in recent days: that the race narrowed after the third debate as GOP-leaning voters drifted home to their party and McCain's “Joe the plumber” analogy struck a chord.

Obama’s double digit lead appears to have evaporated into thin air.

One thing that is never mentioned as a footnote to any of the polling reports is the military vote.

Members of the armed forces have consistently voted 75% to 80% Republican. That’s why Democrats tried their best to disqualify the Florida military ballots in 2000.

Another thing never considered is that polls only include people with landline telephones. Each year more people have given up their landline phones and rely entirely on mobile phones. Could this have an effect on polls?

Link here and here.